Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.036783 0.043093 0.050051 0.058275 0.067716 0.078197 0.090698
2025-03-23 0.028016 0.036410 0.046546 0.059622 0.075971 0.095662 0.121091
2025-03-30 0.021456 0.030609 0.042592 0.059279 0.081743 0.110736 0.150754
2025-04-06 0.016408 0.025502 0.038317 0.057435 0.084911 0.122585 0.177671
2025-04-13 0.012950 0.021775 0.035074 0.056180 0.088328 0.134816 0.206280
2025-04-20 0.011278 0.020323 0.034776 0.058974 0.097706 0.156293 0.250220
2025-04-27 0.009822 0.018886 0.034180 0.061078 0.106126 0.177095 0.295247
2025-05-04 0.008047 0.016515 0.031601 0.059455 0.108224 0.188149 0.326144
2025-05-11 0.006788 0.014811 0.029847 0.058885 0.111836 0.201789 0.362290
2025-05-18 0.005619 0.013027 0.027622 0.057075 0.112943 0.211190 0.392090
2025-05-25 0.004725 0.011613 0.025845 0.055785 0.114717 0.221746 0.424648
2025-06-01 0.004132 0.010719 0.024939 0.056017 0.119279 0.237567 0.467763
2025-06-08 0.003433 0.009451 0.023081 0.054120 0.119625 0.245971 0.498781
2025-06-15 0.003176 0.009189 0.023361 0.056756 0.129358 0.272992 0.566973
2025-06-22 0.002799 0.008541 0.022660 0.057149 0.134498 0.291632 0.620890
2025-06-29 0.002372 0.007660 0.021254 0.055729 0.135588 0.302314 0.660206
2025-07-06 0.002033 0.006934 0.020093 0.054694 0.137356 0.314482 0.703486
2025-07-13 0.001916 0.006835 0.020508 0.057520 0.148149 0.346394 0.789722
2025-07-20 0.001778 0.006637 0.020630 0.059630 0.157510 0.376066 0.873667
2025-07-27 0.001519 0.005986 0.019395 0.058070 0.157971 0.386434 0.917515
2025-08-03 0.001331 0.005518 0.018592 0.057525 0.160815 0.402297 0.974478
2025-08-10 0.001133 0.004960 0.017412 0.055761 0.160383 0.410658 1.015546
2025-08-17 0.000977 0.004507 0.016466 0.054501 0.161071 0.421626 1.063286